Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 0.705462 0.807090 0.917278 1.045505 1.190503 1.349262 1.536142
2025-02-02 0.575312 0.718993 0.887862 1.100463 1.360439 1.667433 2.056868
2025-02-09 0.460331 0.624293 0.831837 1.112574 1.481019 1.946563 2.577697
2025-02-16 0.370603 0.542410 0.775373 1.112014 1.583275 2.216339 3.127391
2025-02-23 0.303878 0.477485 0.728387 1.113680 1.685784 2.498183 3.731921
2025-03-02 0.251400 0.422208 0.684192 1.109815 1.777000 2.773699 4.363108
2025-03-09 0.215144 0.384365 0.658589 1.127771 1.900548 3.109357 5.123932
2025-03-16 0.180931 0.342956 0.619650 1.116873 1.974919 3.376223 5.809626
2025-03-23 0.159549 0.319437 0.605975 1.144551 2.114245 3.760912 6.728363
2025-03-30 0.136355 0.288021 0.572918 1.132264 2.181448 4.031128 7.484690
2025-04-06 0.120703 0.268059 0.557258 1.148466 2.300104 4.401476 8.454261
2025-04-13 0.102820 0.240083 0.521497 1.120323 2.331121 4.616437 9.166179
2025-04-20 0.094186 0.230497 0.521583 1.164502 2.510076 5.130130 10.500552
2025-04-27 0.087798 0.224743 0.528771 1.224459 2.728748 5.745053 12.099213
2025-05-04 0.078464 0.210312 0.514870 1.237288 2.851807 6.186340 13.406788
2025-05-11 0.069454 0.194852 0.496077 1.236308 2.944984 6.577292 14.655748
2025-05-18 0.061835 0.181357 0.479583 1.237918 3.043691 6.990095 15.994451
2025-05-25 0.054903 0.168233 0.461756 1.233500 3.127757 7.380243 17.326185
2025-06-01 0.050042 0.159818 0.454300 1.253241 3.270610 7.914249 19.027782
2025-06-08 0.044352 0.147791 0.435427 1.241142 3.334997 8.278320 20.387005
2025-06-15 0.041068 0.142273 0.433075 1.271674 3.508520 8.911590 22.426132
2025-06-22 0.036526 0.131838 0.415315 1.258078 3.568072 9.282339 23.889274
2025-06-29 0.033560 0.125852 0.409272 1.275955 3.711902 9.871150 25.932502